Civic Space 2040
Over the next two decades, environmental, technological, and demographic trends will dramatically change how we live our lives. A vibrant civic space is essential to ensure everyone can fully participate in shaping this future.
Civic Space 2040 is a futurist initiative to craft a positive vision for civic space and map strategies to make it a reality. The initiative explores trends that will radically transform the world and discusses how they will impact civic space.
ICNL launched the initiative in 2019 with a meeting at the Rockefeller Foundation’s Bellagio Center in Italy. Participants included civil society leaders from around the world, along with experts on technology, climate change, democracy, conflict and crisis, and philanthropy. Together they sought to envision the civic freedoms we will need two decades from now, key questions that must be addressed, and steps to guarantee these freedoms in the future. The meeting outcome report summarizes the discussion and potential ways forward.
ICNL also commissioned a series of trend reports to inform civic space advocates about the opportunities and challenges ahead. The trend reports and resources on this page aim to help understand critical future trends from a civic space perspective.
Read the Bellagio Outcome Report Here
Emerging Digital Technology
Civil society must play a part in shaping the future of digital technologies, including standard-setting for artificial intelligence, the governance of cryptocurrencies, and the accountability of tech companies.
The Practice and Potential of Blockchain Technologies for Extractive Sector Governance
By the Natural Resource Governance Institute, September 2020
Integrated Advocacy: Paths Forward for Digital Civil Society
By Lucy Bernholz, Nicole Ozer, Kip Wainscott, and Wren Elhai, Stanford PACS, January 2020
The Case for Digital Public Infrastructure
By Ethan Zuckerman, The Knight First Amendment Institute, January 2020
Artificial Intelligence & Human Rights
By Eileen Donahoe and Megan MacDuffee Metzger, Journal of Democracy, April 2019
How Artificial Intelligence is Reshaping Repression
By Steven Feldstein, Journal of Democracy, January 2019
Human Rights in the Age of Artificial Intelligence
By Access Now, November 2018
Machine-made Goods: Charity, Philanthropy, & Artificial Intelligence
By Rhodri Davies, Charities Aid Foundation, June 201
Further Reading
Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence, and the Use of Force by States
By Ashley Deeks, Noam Lubell, and Daragh Murray, SSRN, November 16, 2018
The Policy Dimension of Leading in AI
By Elsa Kania, Lawfare, October 19, 2017
Advocating for human dignity, human rights and inclusive societies
By Eileen Donahoe, Medium, June 8, 2019
Governance Innovation for a Connected World
Edited by Eileen Donahoe and Fen Osler Hampson, Centre for International Governance Innovation, 2018
How can AI amplify civic freedoms?
By Zach Lampell and Lily Liu, International Center for Not-for-Profit Law, OpenGlobalRights, December 18, 2018
Climate Change & Resource Governance
The climate change emergency will be a source of mobilization but also of authoritarian clampdown. Policy and activism on climate change are central to civic space, and youth movements are at the heart of this activism.
Climate Change & Poverty
UN Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights report, June 2019
In Search of Just Transition: Examples From Around the World
International Insititute for Sustainable Development, April 2019
Turning Up the Heat: Corporate Legal Accountability for Climate Change
Business & Human Rights Resource Centre, 2018
< 2°C Futures
By Tony Henshaw, Shiv Shivakumar, et al., Aditya Birla Group, November 2018
Climate Change, Migration, & Displacement: The Need for a Risk-informed & Coherent Approach
By Sarah Opitz Stapleton, Rebecca Nadin, Charlene Watson and Jan Kellet, ODI, 2017
Further Reading
The Collapse of Civilization May Have Already Begun
By Nafeez Ahmed, Vice, November 22, 2019
Green and White Nationalism
By Elizabeth Chatterjee, London Review of Books, September 6, 2019
Enemies of the State: How Governments and Businesses Silence Land and Environmental Defenders
Global Witness, July 30, 2019
Summary for Policymakers: Global Warming of 1.5 ºC
By Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, et al., World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, 2018
Climate Change: A Risk Assessment
By David King, Daniel Schrag, Zhou Dadi, Qi Ye, and Arunabha Ghosh, 2015
The Future of Philanthropy & Civil Society
Civil society must play a part in shaping the future of digital technologies, including standard-setting for artificial intelligence, the governance of cryptocurrencies, and the accountability of tech companiParticipants emphasized the need for strategies against disinformation campaigns, online trolling, and harassment. Civil society organizations could use open source technology to more efficiently share learning and coordinate action.es.
Philanthropy & Digital Civil Society: Blueprint 2020
By Lucy Bernholz, Stanford PACS Center on Philanthropy and Civil Society, 2019
Civil Society Innovation & Populism in a Digital Age
International Civil Society Centre and Just Labs, 2019
Scanning the Horizon Sector Guide #1: China
By Bertram Lang, International Civil Society Centre, November 2019
Philanthropy is at a Turning Point: 6 Ways it could Go
By Rhodri Davies, Charities Aid Foundation, April 2019
The CCP’s Model of Social Control Goes Global
By Martin Hála and Jichang Lulu, Asia Dialogue/Sinopsis, December 2018
The Mobilization of Conservative Civil Society
By Richard Youngs, Gareth Fowler, et al., Carnegie Europe, October 2018
Remaking China’s Civil Society in the Xi Jinping Era
By Shawn Shieh, China File, August 2018
The Global Landscape of Philanthropy
By Andrew Milner, WINGS, January 2018
Further Reading
The American Dark Money Behind Europe’s Far Right
By Mary Fitzgerald and Clare Provost, Open Democracy, July 11, 2019
Religious Conservatism on the Global Stage: Threats and Challenges for LGBTI Rights
By María Angélica Peñas Defago, José Manuel Morán Faúndes, and Juan Marco Vaggione, Global Philanthropy Project, November 4, 2018
Democracy & Governance
In the face of major shifts in geopolitics – the rise of authoritarianism, increasing populism, and a simultaneous decline of multilateralism – protecting civic space must remain a priority
Dictators in Trouble
By Thomas Carothers, Foreign Affairs, February 2020
The Global State of Democracy 2019 Report
IDEA, 2019
Carnegie Endowment Resources on Civic Activism
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2019
A World Safe for Autocracy
By Jessica Chen Weiss, Foreign Affairs, July/August 2019
How Will Demographic Transformations Affect Democracy in the Coming Decades?
By Jack A. Goldstone, Larry Diamond, Hoover Institution, May 2019
Mapping China’s Global Governance Ambitions
By Melanie Hart and Blaine Johnson, Center for American Progress, February 2019
Democracy & Disorder: The Struggle for Influence in the New Geopolitics
By Bruce Jones and Torrey Taussig, Brookings, February 2019
Further Reading
Which municipalism? Let’s be choosy
By Laura Roth, OpenDemocracy, January 2, 2019
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