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Civic Space 2040

Civic Space 2040 is a futurist initiative to craft a positive vision for civic space and map strategies to make it a reality. The initiative explores trends that will radically transform the world and discusses how they will impact civic space.

ICNL launched the initiative in 2019 with a meeting at the Rockefeller Foundation’s Bellagio Center in Italy. Participants included civil society leaders from around the world, along with experts on technology, climate change, democracy, conflict and crisis, and philanthropy. Together they sought to envision the civic freedoms we will need two decades from now, key questions that must be addressed, and steps to guarantee these freedoms in the future. The meeting outcome report summarizes the discussion and potential ways forward.

ICNL also commissioned a series of trend reports to inform civic space advocates about the opportunities and challenges ahead. The trend reports and resources on this page aim to help understand critical future trends from a civic space perspective.

Read the Bellagio Outcome Report Here
Participants from the August, 2019 Civic Space 2040 kick-off meeting. The meeting gathered thought leaders, experts, and activists from around the world at the Rockefeller Foundation’s Bellagio Center in Italy to explore trends that will radically transform civic space in the future. (Photo: ICNL)
Participants from the Civic Space 2040 kick-off meeting. The meeting gathered thought leaders, experts, and activists from around the world to explore the future of civic space. (Photo: ICNL)

Emerging Digital Technology

Civil society must play a part in shaping the future of digital technologies, including standard-setting for artificial intelligence, the governance of cryptocurrencies, and the accountability of tech companies.


By Eileen Donahoe and Megan MacDuffee Metzger, Journal of Democracy, April 2019

By Steven Feldstein, Journal of Democracy, January 2019

By Rhodri Davies, Charities Aid Foundation, June 201


Further Reading

By Ashley Deeks, Noam Lubell, and Daragh Murray, SSRN, November 16, 2018

By Elsa Kania, Lawfare, October 19, 2017

Edited by Eileen Donahoe and Fen Osler Hampson, Centre for International Governance Innovation, 2018

By Zach Lampell and Lily Liu, International Center for Not-for-Profit Law, OpenGlobalRights, December 18, 2018

Climate Change & Resource Governance

The climate change emergency will be a source of mobilization but also of authoritarian clampdown. Policy and activism on climate change are central to civic space, and youth movements are at the heart of this activism.


UN Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights report, June 2019

International Insititute for Sustainable Development, April 2019

Business & Human Rights Resource Centre, 2018

By Tony Henshaw, Shiv Shivakumar, et al., Aditya Birla Group, November 2018

By Sarah Opitz Stapleton, Rebecca Nadin, Charlene Watson and Jan Kellet, ODI, 2017


Further Reading

By Nafeez Ahmed, Vice, November 22, 2019

By Elizabeth Chatterjee, London Review of Books, September 6, 2019

By Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, et al., World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, 2018

By David King, Daniel Schrag, Zhou Dadi, Qi Ye, and Arunabha Ghosh, 2015

The Future of Philanthropy & Civil Society

Civil society must play a part in shaping the future of digital technologies, including standard-setting for artificial intelligence, the governance of cryptocurrencies, and the accountability of tech companiParticipants emphasized the need for strategies against disinformation campaigns, online trolling, and harassment. Civil society organizations could use open source technology to more efficiently share learning and coordinate action.es.


By Bertram Lang, International Civil Society Centre, November 2019

By Rhodri Davies, Charities Aid Foundation, April 2019

By Martin Hála and Jichang Lulu, Asia Dialogue/Sinopsis, December 2018

By Richard Youngs, Gareth Fowler, et al., Carnegie Europe, October 2018

By Shawn Shieh, China File, August 2018

By Andrew Milner, WINGS, January 2018


Further Reading

By Mary Fitzgerald and Clare Provost, Open Democracy, July 11, 2019

By María Angélica Peñas Defago, José Manuel Morán Faúndes, and Juan Marco Vaggione, Global Philanthropy Project, November 4, 2018

Democracy & Governance

In the face of major shifts in geopolitics – the rise of authoritarianism, increasing populism, and a simultaneous decline of multilateralism – protecting civic space must remain a priority


By Thomas Carothers, Foreign Affairs, February 2020

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2019

By Jessica Chen Weiss, Foreign Affairs, July/August 2019

By Jack A. Goldstone, Larry Diamond, Hoover Institution, May 2019

By Melanie Hart and Blaine Johnson, Center for American Progress, February 2019

By Bruce Jones and Torrey Taussig, Brookings, February 2019


Further Reading

By Laura Roth, OpenDemocracy, January 2, 2019

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